Upcoming Major Winter Storm Tabitha Likely to Bring Heavy Snow and Ice Storms

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Another major winter storm will be developing by Sunday across the Dessart SW and New Mexico region. By Sunday night the deepening trough will eject off of New Mexico and will then increase for moderate to strong forcing accent, this will coincide with backdoor frontal forcing over the Sandie mountains of NM, the ending result will likely be several inches to a couple of feet for the higher terrain with 6 to maybe 12 inches in the Albuquerque valley of snowfall. By Monday and Tuesday, a warm front may develop over Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennesse, and the mid-Atlantic as warm air forcing aloft strengthens. At the surface, colder air from a strong surface high over the northern great lakes may increase cold air damming along with the warm from boundery. Depending on how much colder air can pool down and get trapped without being mixed out by the warm air aloft may result in a prolonged period of moderate freezing rain and sleet over the mid-Atlantic. Latest GEFS and ECMWF model guidance has been fairly consistent that these areas from Arkansas points NE towered New Jersey may get to near inches. The CMC is rather high with its ensemble forecast with 1 to 2 inches of ice. But either way, the same overall forecast supports this scenario of Freezing rain from Monday through Tuesday with some sleet mixed in. This could cause widespread power outages and dangerous travel. Further north where the warm air mixes out with the impressive arctic air mass will lead to strong cold air genetic forcing and will increase the chances for moderate to heavy snowfall across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, the great lakes, and the Northeast with 10 to 18 inches of snow more likely. But the question is could this major winter storm be historic and will it earn it's name Tabitha?? I have all of those details in the video.

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